As I have argued before, this makes very little sense. Why would a mobile species that is beginning to populate the world form a unity until so late. Indeed, we have arrival of modern humans in both Europe and East Asia long before the ~22.5kya date, and the divergence of these humans into the two major Eurasian races starts already in the Paleolithic. The idea that the ancestors of modern Caucasoids and Mongoloids formed a unity as late as ~22.5kya is a fantasy.
What gives then? The problem arises from the failure to appreciate intra-African variation. The temporal gap between the demographic expansion of Homo sapiens and Eurasians is not due to an early Out of Africa event followed by a period of stasis.
Rather, the Out-of-Africa event was one side of a coin that included a related Deeper-into-Africa event. The fourty thousand year gap is, in part, due to population structure in Africa itself, with Eurasians being late descendants of an East African subpopulation and modern Africans being an admixture of East Africans and the pre-existing populations of the continent, whose least admixed modern representatives are the Khoi-San and Pygmies.
It makes no sense that Eurasians left Africa and then "stayed as one" for forty thousand years, just as they had the Earth's largest landmass to populate and the record says that they did populate it. Rather, the forty thousand year gap should be split into "African" and "Eurasian" components, with the former representing African population structure that later broke down, forming the present-day mosaic of African peoples, and the latter representing the early period of Eurasian unity during the early stages of our species' Out of Africa adventures.
It is telling that the authors consider a model in which the ancestors of modern humans replaced archaic humans in Eurasians, but it does not dawn on them at all, that these same ancestors may have replaced or absorbed archaic humans (or early modern ones) in Africa itself.
PLoS ONE doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0010284
Formulating a Historical and Demographic Model of Recent Human Evolution Based on Resequencing Data from Noncoding Regions
Guillaume Laval et al.
Abstract
Background
Estimating the historical and demographic parameters that characterize modern human populations is a fundamental part of reconstructing the recent history of our species. In addition, the development of a model of human evolution that can best explain neutral genetic diversity is required to identify confidently regions of the human genome that have been targeted by natural selection.
Methodology/Principal Findings
We have resequenced 20 independent noncoding autosomal regions dispersed throughout the genome in 213 individuals from different continental populations, corresponding to a total of ~6 Mb of diploid resequencing data. We used these data to explore and co-estimate an extensive range of historical and demographic parameters with a statistical framework that combines the evaluation of multiple models of human evolution via a best-fit approach, followed by an Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) analysis. From a methodological standpoint, evaluating the accuracy of the parameter co-estimation allowed us to identify the most accurate set of statistics to be used for the estimation of each of the different historical and demographic parameters characterizing recent human evolution.
Conclusions/Significance
Our results support a model in which modern humans left Africa through a single major dispersal event occurring ~60,000 years ago, corresponding to a drastic reduction of ~5 times the effective population size of the ancestral African population of ~13,800 individuals. Subsequently, the ancestors of modern Europeans and East Asians diverged much later, ~22,500 years ago, from the population of ancestral migrants. This late diversification of Eurasians after the African exodus points to the occurrence of a long maturation phase in which the ancestral Eurasian population was not yet diversified.
Link
PLoS ONE doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0010284
Formulating a Historical and Demographic Model of Recent Human Evolution Based on Resequencing Data from Noncoding Regions
Guillaume Laval et al.
Abstract
Background
Estimating the historical and demographic parameters that characterize modern human populations is a fundamental part of reconstructing the recent history of our species. In addition, the development of a model of human evolution that can best explain neutral genetic diversity is required to identify confidently regions of the human genome that have been targeted by natural selection.
Methodology/Principal Findings
We have resequenced 20 independent noncoding autosomal regions dispersed throughout the genome in 213 individuals from different continental populations, corresponding to a total of ~6 Mb of diploid resequencing data. We used these data to explore and co-estimate an extensive range of historical and demographic parameters with a statistical framework that combines the evaluation of multiple models of human evolution via a best-fit approach, followed by an Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) analysis. From a methodological standpoint, evaluating the accuracy of the parameter co-estimation allowed us to identify the most accurate set of statistics to be used for the estimation of each of the different historical and demographic parameters characterizing recent human evolution.
Conclusions/Significance
Our results support a model in which modern humans left Africa through a single major dispersal event occurring ~60,000 years ago, corresponding to a drastic reduction of ~5 times the effective population size of the ancestral African population of ~13,800 individuals. Subsequently, the ancestors of modern Europeans and East Asians diverged much later, ~22,500 years ago, from the population of ancestral migrants. This late diversification of Eurasians after the African exodus points to the occurrence of a long maturation phase in which the ancestral Eurasian population was not yet diversified.
Link











