Maximum likelihood estimation of recent shared ancestry (ERSA)

The ERSA software will be available at this address of the Jorde lab. They also used GERMLINE and fastIBD in BEAGLE, so it should be possible for genealogy-minded individuals to use it to confirm/disprove postulated relationships between individuals.

Genome Research doi:10.1101/gr.115972.110

Maximum-likelihood estimation of recent shared ancestry (ERSA)

Chad Huff et al.

Abstract

Accurate estimation of recent shared ancestry is important for genetics, evolution, medicine, conservation biology, and forensics. Established methods estimate kinship accurately for first- through third-degree relatives. We demonstrate that chromosomal segments shared by two individuals due to identity by descent (IBD) provide much additional information about shared ancestry. We developed a maximum-likelihood method for the estimation of recent shared ancestry (ERSA) from the number and lengths of IBD segments derived from high-density SNP or whole-genome sequence data. We used ERSA to estimate relationships from SNP genotypes in 169 individuals from three large, well-defined human pedigrees. ERSA is accurate to within one degree of relationship for 97% of first- through fifth-degree relatives and 80% of sixth- and seventh-degree relatives. We demonstrate that ERSA's statistical power approaches the maximum theoretical limit imposed by the fact that distant relatives frequently share no DNA through a common ancestor. ERSA greatly expands the range of relationships that can be estimated from genetic data and is implemented in a freely available software package.

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